Green Bay or New York Jets
The lockout is going to screw the entire year up for teams that made a lot of changes in the offseason. Especially those with new coaching staffs and offensive and defensive schemes.
The Jets are going to be a monster of a team if (when) they sign Nhamdi Asomgua (sp?). Resigning Santonio Holmes was huge and they drafted a kid out of TCU, Jeremey Kerley, who is a sleeper.
I like Green Bay to win it all again based on the lack of changes in on and off the field personnel. They have lost Darren Colledge and James Jones but both a serviceable players who are more products of the Packers' system rather than individual talent.