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      05-07-2013, 10:41 AM   #1387
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      05-07-2013, 10:42 AM   #1388
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333
I actually agree with your assessment of AAPL...once the dam breaks, doubtful it will take out the all time high again...now somehow GOOG managed to do this but it has a ridiculous bull mkt now carrying it but AAPL wont have that luxury as time is running out on the bull...would be surprised if the bull lasted 9 more months.

At some point, MSFT, INTC, CSCO were all high flyers and while they continued to make bank even after the growth phase was over, you dont get that sick dumb explosive stock price growth anymore.

The momo players are into 3D printing and TSLA now....

Damn TSLA I have been wanting to get in for over a week now but the price wont allow it!...we need a 20% correction so I can get in.



Quote:
Originally Posted by mmahany View Post
I agree with your first statement, although I certainly don't believe that it's a $400 company. A great deal of negativity would have to occur for it to be "fairly valued" at that price.

It's P/E ratio ranks it around the top 10% for Tech companies. They are still posting some of the highest quarterly earnings of all time (for any company). They're still very heavy on cash and still have a significant market share.

The bad:
-They're running out of steam. They haven't come out with anything innovative in a long time. The iPad mini was long overdue and it's also a product with more narrow profit margins.
-Android based phones are continuing to improve. In my opinion, the iPhone 4 was the last phone that I considered to truly be the best out there. The 4s and 5 include dated technology and the 5 certainly came with its fair share of flaws.
-It's not that cool to own an iphone anymore. Apple's stock price got as high as $700 because it was cool to own Apple products and it was equally cool to own Apple stock. It was the number one owned equity in mutual fund portfolios and mutual fund companies were using it in growth and value based funds (in some cases dividend funds as well). After the stock fell, it fell sharply. Many fund managers started dumping the stock which only made the price fall faster.

I think the price has overcorrected and it's fairly valued at around $500-525, but the technology sector changes daily so my opinion on those figures may change in the blink of an eye.
Finally someone said it! I'm kicking myself for not buying tesla! Need a pullback to hop in.
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      05-09-2013, 09:44 AM   #1389
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TSLA!!!...been wanting in for weeks.

Sensing short term pullback...sold bbry in at at 11 up 40%....FB 24 up few %.....aapl 405 up 12%....ddd 33 up 20%

Will be buying these back in a week or so....mkts need to pull back just a little bit.
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      05-09-2013, 10:03 AM   #1390
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
TSLA!!!...been wanting in for weeks.

Sensing short term pullback...sold bbry in at at 11 up 40%....FB 24 up few %.....aapl 405 up 12%....ddd 33 up 20%

Will be buying these back in a week or so....mkts need to pull back just a little bit.
Yeah, I'm kicking myself for not getting in on TSLA at 35. My friend kept telling me to ignore it, because it's a sham. Sham or not, 50% is 50%.
Why sell BBRY? I bought more Sept 20 calls on Tuesday.
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      05-09-2013, 11:41 AM   #1391
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PSUSMU View Post
Yeah, I'm kicking myself for not getting in on TSLA at 35. My friend kept telling me to ignore it, because it's a sham. Sham or not, 50% is 50%.
Why sell BBRY? I bought more Sept 20 calls on Tuesday.
I will buy back everything I sold in prob a week....sense a very short term pullback here.

I actually owned TSLA at 17 in the past when I was on their original list for the Model S! Bought M3 instead at the time.
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      05-09-2013, 02:53 PM   #1392
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surprise surprise late day sell off...
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      05-09-2013, 04:41 PM   #1393
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Do you think that we hit 1650 before pulling back or is 1632 the short term top with 1600 to 1580 being the target for next week?
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      05-10-2013, 01:02 PM   #1394
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Do you think that we hit 1650 before pulling back or is 1632 the short term top with 1600 to 1580 being the target for next week?
There aren't really any strong indicators to suggest that we would experience a significant pullback.

-Nothing is really changing in the Eurozone and it's pretty much bottomed out at this point.
-There are some serious issues in Japan with the Yen, borrowing, and deflation, but nothing that should really shock the US Economy in a big way.
-U.S. job numbers are continuing to improve
-The fiscal cliff is a thing of the past
-Most companies are still considered to be undervalued when comparing their P/E ratios to past years.
-The 10-year Treasury is still extremely low along with the fixed income market in general so investors are flocking to equities in order to get any kind of significant yield on their money.

The only things that really worry me:
-A lack of investor confidence. U.S. investors are like deer these days, and seem to spook easy at any sign of negativity.
-A real estate market pullback. REITs are paying some serious dividends right now, and I worry that if the real estate market slows, it will have a significant effect on REIT prices.
- An attack on a major oil refinery (likely in the Middle East). It wouldn't be a huge issue in terms of production, but this kind of thing scares people. It would raise oil prices significantly and people tend to get scared when gas gets expensive.
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      05-10-2013, 06:14 PM   #1395
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Gap down and early selling on Monday.
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      05-13-2013, 06:44 PM   #1396
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333
TSLA!!!...been wanting in for weeks.

Sensing short term pullback...sold bbry in at at 11 up 40%....FB 24 up few %.....aapl 405 up 12%....ddd 33 up 20%

Will be buying these back in a week or so....mkts need to pull back just a little bit.
Complete noob here. But WTH is going on here? When will sanity prevail and TSLA stop skyrocketing? I'm thinking it's due to two things (besides the earnings report and sales numbers): the superstar vibe of the company, and short squeezing.

What do y'all think of TSLA? Buy, short, or leave alone?
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      05-13-2013, 11:28 PM   #1397
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Quote:
Originally Posted by emanresu View Post
Complete noob here. But WTH is going on here? When will sanity prevail and TSLA stop skyrocketing? I'm thinking it's due to two things (besides the earnings report and sales numbers): the superstar vibe of the company, and short squeezing.

What do y'all think of TSLA? Buy, short, or leave alone?
TSLA has all the momo players in it...I would like to buy it on pullback to 50 dam...RSI pegged at 87.8 now...I took small short position on TSLA today...it will be coming down soon....but ultimately I want to be long the stock for this year but not at these nosebleed level.

Stocks climb a wall of worry and then when the bear mkt hits next year we will ride the slope of hope down....
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      05-13-2013, 11:34 PM   #1398
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we got the gap down this am as predicted...should see some selling for abit before the climb to 1750 starts yet again,.
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      05-14-2013, 10:18 AM   #1399
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anyone get in on DDD when I brought it up 3 wks ago???...on a tear...up 50% since then...I re-bought 1/2 DDD sold few days ago and then at the open today...cant afford to let this one run without me....prob too late for others to get in now after this recent run(DDD, XONE, SSYS)

Re-bought BBRY today...waiting on AAPL and FB.

Still short on TSLA for now...think we get that shooting star candle on TSLA today for a reversal...volume down and while rising for past 3-4 days on TSLA...has peaked on ST basis for now imho.
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      05-14-2013, 11:48 AM   #1400
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TSLA down 10 pts from the high today...now in the red as predicted...can anyone say "shooting star"???...

I am going to go out on a limb and say we see this pattern on TSLA by market close.

To be meaningful, you have to make these calls in real time, not the day after...I took the short on TSLA yesterday and when it was up huge at the open again today, shooting star reversal was the call....example of shooting star.



Last edited by mact3333; 05-14-2013 at 12:35 PM.
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      05-14-2013, 12:43 PM   #1401
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haven't been following the markets since cashing out a week ago... but i'm sensing some pullback in the short term.
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      05-15-2013, 11:03 AM   #1402
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DE pulls back after earnings but not enough for me to get back in.

YHOO continues to be a big winner for me - up 80%.
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      05-15-2013, 11:35 AM   #1403
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I am very close to rebuying AAPL(sold AAPL at 460 on 5/9/13)...one more down day will be good enough...AAPL re-cycling right now...sold that one at a ST top!.

Sold all my physical gold earlier this week, which luckily turned out to be a good move...metals clearly in a bear trend now...money better in the general mkts rather than in metals at this time.
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      05-15-2013, 11:53 AM   #1404
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AAPL is toast. I think it will retest $420 and $400 again.
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      05-15-2013, 01:17 PM   #1405
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If AAPL doesn't rebound starting tomorrow it could be heading to 350.00!
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      05-15-2013, 02:06 PM   #1406
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
If AAPL doesn't rebound starting tomorrow it could be heading to 350.00!
I stand by my calls, still holding all my shorts.
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      05-15-2013, 04:38 PM   #1407
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Still holding full position fo spy160 puts and iwm94 puts from last week. It has been very, very painful.
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      05-15-2013, 04:53 PM   #1408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
If AAPL doesn't rebound starting tomorrow it could be heading to 350.00!
I think it does. The last hour candle was very bullish and it has formed the bottom of a right shoulder on a significant inverse head and shoulder pattern. I think today was the bottom, and if there's selling early on it should get bought up pretty quickly.
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