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Maybe their pre-owned departments are coming back with 45k offers... so they feel you wouldn't be interested anyways...
Go to CarMax or a Sonic dealership and they should be able to give you quotes fairly quickly. My experience has been that Sonic gives better offers than CarMax or other dealerships on premium cars.
Since BMW leases generally have very inflated residuals, and you pay money factor, the trade-in offer is likely going to be SIGNIFICANTLY less than buyout. I don't really think it ll be within 10k of the buyout. I think it ll be much easier and financially better for you to transfer your lease instead of doing a trade-in.
If your lease payment is high, you can probably put up a few k incentives and the car should be transferred fairly easily (unless there are issues with the car). If your lease payment is low, then you ll be able to transfer without any losses.
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