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      09-18-2012, 09:48 PM   #39
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Originally Posted by MiddleAgedAl View Post
Historically, yes, the poorer southern states have typically voted Republican in the past.

Anyways, this time, I'm not so sure. This article supports my hypothesis:

"one of the ironies of the 2012 presidential campaign is that the incumbent president has benefited from strong support among many of the constituencies that have been hardest-hit by high unemployment levels, particularly black Americans and Latino Americans. "
But the number of people on Medicare and Social security FAR outweighs the amount of people on Medicaid (which many make an assumption that most of these people are democratic voters. I would assert that about 60-65% are). My guess that about 5% of those 47% are on Medicaid. Most of those 47% are on SS and medicare (old people). And those people are largely republican.