[2000cs]

As if Ian wasn’t enough this year, another storm is brewing. Not yet named, hopefully will only get to TS strength but a CAT1 is possible. heading toward Daytona, maybe south of there, then across peninsula and into the gulf before hooking NE and either going back to the Atlantic and up the coast, or into GA and along the eastern Appalachians.

Storm is in the weather forecasts for Tue-Thu here in Flagler Beach, with lots of rain and high winds but not hurricane strength (yet).

Here we have early watches, and the city will be handing out sandbags tomorrow. It is being pitched as a nor-easter here still, but we still have high inland waters from Ian so flooding is likely (and tides will be high anyway with the lunar cycle).

[Tommy-G]

Isn’t it crazy Ian was a month ago and you/we are still having after effects?

[2000cs]

Originally Posted by Tommy-G

Isn’t it crazy Ian was a month ago and you/we are still having after effects?

Yes. The St Johns river (ICW) flows north, and empties a lot of the Orlando area lakes. Ian came across those lakes very slowly (I was in Sanford Friday and the lake there was very high still), and then hit all of the closer lakes and the ICW itself as it turned north, so it kept pressure on that entire drainage. It is all still draining up through St Aug and Jax. This storm will bring more water to the coastal areas at least, which will keep the inland lakes backed up for a while longer.

[Tommy-G]

I drove across from Sarasota to West Palm the weekend before Ian and the whole center of the state was already flooded from rain fall, then Ian came. I can just imagine the mosquitoes in the center of the state

[evil-G-nius]

According to the models its going to hit me pretty much dead on. Hopefully it doesn't get much stronger than a TS cuz there is no time to really go anywhere or do anything at this point

[UncleWede]

Nicole?

[RickFLM4]

Yes, right after I finished cleaning up the patio and fixing stuff after the tornado from Ian. We have a couple of spaghetti model lines going over our home. Always prepare and we never want a storm, but I don't think this one (Nicole) will be anything like Ian. Most of the state will get wet though. Another reason I'm glad I already voted by mail.

[dreamingat30fps]

Ugh! We just got back from NC last week. On the bright side the business event I had to come back for was this past weekend so at least it didn't mess that up. Hopefully it's just rain and I'll stay inside and get some work done.

[2000cs]

Latest is CAT1 just before landfall, which should now be south end of the state. Still crosses the state and many models have it going into the gulf briefly before making a sharp turn NE.

Much lower rainfall predictions than with Ian, 4” here compared with 12” actual and 20” predicted for Ian. Drier system apparently so more of a wind and surge event. Full moon tonight, king tides, and wind-driven water piling up along the NE coast of FL and into GA and SC especially, Tues-Fri.

I guess we will be bringing in the outdoor furniture this evening.

[Alpine300zhp]

Originally Posted by RickFLM4

Yes, right after I finished cleaning up the patio and fixing stuff after the tornado from Ian. We have a couple of spaghetti model lines going over our home. Always prepare and we never want a storm, but I don't think this one (Nicole) will be anything like Ian. Most of the state will get wet though. Another reason I'm glad I already voted by mail.

Good points. I neglected to vote by mail, but I'll be damned if this is going to stop me from voting.

[DocL]

Originally Posted by RickFLM4

Yes, right after I finished cleaning up the patio and fixing stuff after the tornado from Ian. We have a couple of spaghetti model lines going over our home. Always prepare and we never want a storm, but I don't think this one (Nicole) will be anything like Ian. Most of the state will get wet though. Another reason I'm glad I already voted by mail.

The storm isn't supposed to be close to us until Wednesday, and even then they usually make an adjustment pushing it out 36 to 48hrs. This late in the season fortunately the cooler upper air usually keeps these storms to a minimum. I usually don't don't much for a CAT1. Maybe I'll take in some throw pillows from the couch on my patio.

[RickFLM4]

Originally Posted by DocL

The storm isn't supposed to be close to us until Wednesday, and even then they usually make an adjustment pushing it out 36 to 48hrs. This late in the season fortunately the cooler upper air usually keeps these storms to a minimum. I usually don't don't much for a CAT1. Maybe I'll take in some throw pillows from the couch on my patio.

Personally I don’t have much to do either. New roof, impact resistant glass so no shutters and we keep cases on water and a full propane tank on hand for the whole season. I’ll probably throw padlocks on patio storage units to make sure they stay shut but that’s about it. Prefer not to be out driving around or standing in line outside tomorrow if outer bands of rain are coming in though.

[RickFLM4]

Originally Posted by Alpine300zhp

Good points. I neglected to vote by mail, but I'll be damned if this is going to stop me from voting.

I missed voting once because I had to be in Miami for a client and didn’t make it back before polls closed (think it was before early voting became a big thing). So I have voted by mail ever since. Plus, all these stupid amendments that are on the ballot every election take a long time for everyone to read so it takes long to go in person, early or otherwise. I saw a long line of cars waiting to get into voting this a.m. on my way to a Dr appointment.

[M_Six]

One of the few advantages to living in the boonies is super easy and fast voting. We went to early voting at the university and were in and out in 15 minutes or so. No waiting.

Hopefully this storm doesn't have any last minute surprises like Ian did.

[floridaorange]

Tropical storms that follow soon after real hurricanes are fantastic for the Home Depots and Grocery stores.

[Tommy-G]

Originally Posted by floridaorange

Tropical storms that follow soon after real hurricanes are fantastic for the Home Depots and Grocery stores.

Just like the first snowfall up North

[RickFLM4]

Seems like it shifted a little north and a day or so later. Guessing we will get some rain and wind but nothing major. Hopefully no damage anywhere else either.

Local news still talking about shutters, getting cash and gasoline, days of water, weeks of food, etc. though.

[floridaorange]

Originally Posted by floridaorange

Tropical storms that follow soon after real hurricanes are fantastic for the Home Depots and Grocery stores.

Just like the first snowfall up North[/QUOTE]

Is it? I feel like Florida is more transient.

[2000cs]

Originally Posted by RickFLM4

Seems like it shifted a little north and a day or so later. Guessing we will get some rain and wind but nothing major. Hopefully no damage anywhere else either.

Local news still talking about shutters, getting cash and gasoline, days of water, weeks of food, etc. though.

Yes, I was just watching an update. Hurricane warnings are up for much of the east coast of FL, but landfall now looks like Melbourne area (late Wed or early Thu) so you’ll get a lesser effect. CAT1 and some hint it could be Cat2. Storm surge in GA looks like it could be really bad.

Weather here is already windy with bands of rain. Waves are big and really choppy. Expecting a lot of beach erosion. Since we’re on the north side of the storm, we’ll have the winds from the east, storm surge, and rains (about 3in expected). Winds here still fcst to be tropical storm strength, but each forecast pushes wind speeds higher so watching closely.

[RickFLM4]

Last minute minor panic in PB County government as storm seems to have shifted back south and strengthened. Schools closed Wed/Thurs, our trash pickup cancelled, some evacuations ordered and shelters to be opened. Trash pickup will be a problem because most people won’t hear about it and leave trash outside, which will become debris to fly around.

[2000cs]

How’s everyone doing, especially near the expected landfall?

We’ve had the Atlantic breach the dunes and run across A1A in the south end of town; lots of rock and sand on the road which is closed until cleanup. Also a breach north near the St John’s county line, don’t know if the road is closed there. No breach where we are, but biggest waves are predicted for tomorrow morning.

Our pier was ruined by Ian and condemned after inspection. This storm will provide some free demolition. Daytona has had several issues mainly because, like Flagler, Ian eroded a lot of the protective/sacrificial sand and dunes. But other than that so far nothing serious reported around here yet. Minor flooding along the ICW will get serious tomorrow, but the rain forecast is way down since the storm path moved south and will go a bit more west before the big turn north.

Hope all in S FL are fine.

[dreamingat30fps]

I'm just south of where the cone is entering. Nothing much going on here other than rain. So far feels like typical FL weather.